Advanced Soft Computing Techniques for Monthly Streamflow Prediction in Seasonal Rivers
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Dosyalar
Tarih
2025-01-19
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
MDPI AG
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
The rising incidence of droughts in specific global regions in recent years, primarily attributed to global warming, has markedly increased the demand for reliable and accurate streamflow estimation. Streamflow estimation is essential for the effective management and utilization of water resources, as well as for the design of hydraulic infrastructure. Furthermore, research on streamflow estimation has gained heightened importance because water is essential not only for the survival of all living organisms but also for determining the quality of life on Earth. In this study, advanced soft computing techniques, including long short-term memory (LSTM), convolutional neural network–recurrent neural network (CNN-RNN), and group method of data handling (GMDH) algorithms, were employed to forecast monthly streamflow time series at two different stations in the Wadi Mina basin. The performance of each technique was evaluated using statistical criteria such as mean square error (MSE), mean bias error (MBE), mean absolute error (MAE), and the correlation coefficient (R). The results of this study demonstrated that the GMDH algorithm produced the most accurate forecasts at the Sidi AEK Djillali station, with metrics of MSE: 0.132, MAE: 0.185, MBE: −0.008, and R: 0.636. Similarly, the CNN-RNN algorithm achieved the best performance at the Kef Mehboula station, with metrics of MSE: 0.298, MAE: 0.335, MBE: −0.018, and R: 0.597.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
deep learning, drought, GMDH, prediction, soft computing, streamflow
Kaynak
Atmosphere
WoS Q Değeri
Q3
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
Cilt
16
Sayı
1
Künye
Achite, M., Katipoğlu, O. M., Kartal, V., Sarıgöl, M., Jehanzaib, M., & Gül, E. (2025). Advanced Soft Computing Techniques for Monthly Streamflow Prediction in Seasonal Rivers. Atmosphere, 16(1), 106.
